Paganese vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIG
5 - 0
PAG
40%
29%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
USF
3 - 0
PAG
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
MAR
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAG
69%
21%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 1
RAA
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
AKR
11 - 1
VIG
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 2
AKR
71%
19%
9%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
AKR
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AKR
6 - 0
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ASD
1 - 1
AKR
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |