Paganese vs AC Sansovino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAG
2 - 0
ACP
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
RIE
3 - 1
PAG
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PAG
2 - 1
SSC
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PAG
4 - 1
CUO
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AC Sansovino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ACS
0 - 1
VIT
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ACS
0 - 2
BSL
52%
25%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
USP
1 - 0
ACS
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
RIE
1 - 0
ACS
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ACS
0 - 0
ASC
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |