Paganese vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
RIE
3 - 1
PAG
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PAG
2 - 1
SSC
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PAG
4 - 1
CUO
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
PAG
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
FOL
3 - 0
ACP
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ACP
0 - 0
CUO
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ACP
1 - 0
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ASG
1 - 0
ACP
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ACP
4 - 2
ROV
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |