Paekakariki vs Wainuiomata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
59.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paekakariki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAE
0 - 10
IBU
20%
18%
62%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
PAE
3 - 2
NSC
40%
22%
39%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 1
PAE
36%
22%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Wainuiomata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
9 - 3
WAF
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 52 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
WAF
3 - 1
SEA
40%
21%
39%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
VUN
1 - 2
WAF
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
WAF
0 - 7
NWA
11%
14%
76%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BNU
3 - 4
WAF
28%
20%
52%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |