Paekakariki vs Victoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
53.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paekakariki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
PAE
1 - 0
WAF
22%
18%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAE
0 - 10
IBU
20%
18%
62%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
PAE
3 - 2
NSC
40%
22%
39%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 1
PAE
36%
22%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Victoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
VUN
2 - 1
DVF
52%
21%
28%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
VUN
1 - 2
WAF
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VUN
1 - 4
TAW
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
VUN
1 - 3
UHC
49%
21%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
LHC
3 - 3
VUN
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |