PAEEK vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
11º
16º
11º
7
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 29 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 28 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 25 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 20 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 17 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 15 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 14 |
14º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 10 |
15º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAEEK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DIG
1 - 0
PAE
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PAE
1 - 1
XYL
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ENO
2 - 1
PAE
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAE
2 - 0
ENA
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AYI
3 - 2
PAE
37%
26%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ERM
0 - 3
ACH
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DYP
2 - 0
ERM
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ERM
1 - 1
AKR
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MEA
1 - 2
ERM
37%
26%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DIG
2 - 1
ERM
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |