PAEEK vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
7º
4º
21
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 23 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 22 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 21 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 12 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 11 |
8º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAEEK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAE
3 - 4
OLY
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 0
PAE
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
PAE
2 - 2
AEZ
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
OMM
1 - 2
PAE
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PAE
1 - 1
XYL
52%
23%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
ERM
2 - 0
ALK
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
OMO
0 - 0
ERM
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ERM
0 - 1
MEA
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 3
ERM
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ERM
1 - 0
OLY
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |