PAEEK vs Alki Oroklini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
7º
4º
0
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 23 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 22 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 21 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 12 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 11 |
8º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAEEK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ANA
2 - 1
PAE
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PAE
3 - 0
AYI
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
XYL
0 - 0
PAE
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PAE
1 - 1
DYP
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ERM
0 - 1
PAE
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alki Oroklini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALK
1 - 8
DYP
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
ERM
2 - 0
ALK
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALK
1 - 3
DYP
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ACH
8 - 1
ALK
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 3
ERM
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |