Paduano vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 3
PAD
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 0
CER
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
PAD
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 4
PAD
15%
18%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
BON
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 3
PAD
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
ADC
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ADC
2 - 0
BAR
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ADC
3 - 3
QUE
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
BVI
0 - 6
ADC
13%
17%
70%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |