Padroense FC U19 vs Valadares Gaia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
51%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
8º
6º
23
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOG
4 - 1
PAD
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 4
ESP
62%
19%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 0
PAD
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FEI
5 - 1
PAD
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAM
84%
11%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
VAL
36%
22%
43%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 4
NOG
42%
22%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 2
VAL
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NOG
3 - 2
VAL
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
LEX
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |