Padroense FC U19 vs União Nogueirense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-85%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
8º
7º
28
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LEX
5 - 1
PAD
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 6
LUS
54%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 1
PAD
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 0
PEN
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 0
SOU
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NOG
2 - 3
ESP
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FEI
2 - 1
NOG
25%
21%
53%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NOG
3 - 0
LAM
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 0
NOG
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LEX
4 - 3
NOG
30%
22%
48%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |