Padroense FC U19 vs Penafiel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
8º
6º
10
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PAD
60%
19%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
NOG
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 1
PAD
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
4 - 5
SOU
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 5
LEX
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Penafiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 3
SOU
29%
21%
51%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
NOG
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 0
LAM
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |