Padroense FC U19 vs Penafiel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
8º
7º
24
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 0
SOU
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ESP
3 - 0
PAD
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 0
PAD
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PAD
5 - 2
OFR
91%
7%
3%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
REG
0 - 7
PAD
5%
11%
84%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 1
ESP
35%
22%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FEI
2 - 1
PEN
37%
22%
40%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 0
REG
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 1
PEN
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
REB
91%
7%
2%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |