Padroense FC U19 vs Lamego U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.4%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
11%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
8º
6º
1
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
PEN
62%
19%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PAD
60%
19%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
NOG
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 1
PAD
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
4 - 5
SOU
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lamego U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 4
VAL
7%
13%
79%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NOG
6 - 0
LAM
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
ESP
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 6
LEX
6%
13%
81%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 0
LAM
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |