Padroense FC U19 vs Espinho U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
8º
6º
25
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 0
PAD
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FEI
5 - 1
PAD
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAM
84%
11%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NOG
2 - 0
PAD
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 2
LEX
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Espinho U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 2
VAL
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
ESP
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 5
FEI
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LAM
3 - 3
ESP
16%
18%
66%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
NOG
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |