Padiham vs Squires Gate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
PRH
2 - 0
PAD
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
PFC
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
LTO
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
GLO
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 5
CLI
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
SQU
0 - 2
BUR
34%
21%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SQU
3 - 4
ALI
21%
19%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
IRL
4 - 2
SQU
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SQU
1 - 5
WES
18%
19%
64%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WYT
2 - 0
SQU
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |