Padiham vs Lower Breck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WYT
2 - 3
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
ALI
33%
21%
46%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SQU
1 - 1
PAD
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 5
IRL
25%
21%
55%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
WYA
5 - 1
PAD
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lower Breck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LBR
3 - 1
BUR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WYA
4 - 2
LBR
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
LBR
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LBR
2 - 5
PRH
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
WES
3 - 2
LBR
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |