Padiham vs Isle of Man analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
PAD
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
WES
0 - 2
PAD
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
PAD
5 - 1
RAM
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
PAD
45%
22%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
PAD
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Isle of Man
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
IOM
3 - 5
CHA
26%
24%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
IOM
3 - 1
BUR
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
IOM
0 - 2
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
IOM
0 - 1
BAR
47%
22%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
IOM
1 - 3
SQU
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |