Padiham vs Glossop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 5
CLI
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
BCF
6%
16%
78%
|
29 | 65 | 36 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IOM
2 - 1
PAD
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 3
KEN
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
SIL
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Glossop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GLO
1 - 3
ALI
28%
22%
51%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 4
IOM
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LTO
2 - 2
GLO
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
GLO
1 - 2
COL
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GLO
1 - 2
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |