Padiham vs Congleton Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
56%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IRL
0 - 0
PAD
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
CHA
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
PRH
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WYT
0 - 1
PAD
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
AFC
29%
22%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Congleton Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 2
CON
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
CON
3 - 1
KEN
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ASH
1 - 3
CON
12%
16%
72%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
VAU
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
PRH
3 - 2
CON
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |