Padiham vs Charnock Richard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 2
CHA
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
5 - 1
WES
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
7 - 0
SKE
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
PAD
43%
22%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAD
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Charnock Richard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 3
KEN
76%
14%
11%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 2
CHA
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 1
CHA
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LTO
1 - 3
CHA
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 4
CHA
79%
12%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |