Padiham vs Chadderton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
5 - 1
WES
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
7 - 0
SKE
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
PAD
43%
22%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAD
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LTO
2 - 3
PAD
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chadderton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
RAM
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
IRL
0 - 0
CHA
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 4
CHA
79%
12%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LBR
2 - 1
CHA
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
WYA
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |