Padernense vs GD Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padernense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
PAD
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 0
FAR
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MEG
1 - 2
PAD
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
GD Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
ODI
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
LAG
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 0
ARM
34%
23%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SCP
4 - 0
LAG
95%
5%
1%
|
23 | 87 | 64 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 1
LAG
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |