Paderne vs Raio Alaricano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAD
29%
25%
47%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 2
PAD
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 2
TOE
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ABO
1 - 1
PAD
46%
24%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 2
PAD
24%
24%
52%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Raio Alaricano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
RAL
5 - 0
RAN
75%
15%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RAL
2 - 0
LOB
55%
22%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 4
RAL
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RAL
1 - 3
OUT
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LPU
1 - 1
RAL
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |