Paderne vs Molgas ADF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ALL
0 - 0
PAD
21%
23%
57%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PAD
6 - 2
SEI
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
PAD
22%
23%
55%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PAD
2 - 1
MER
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PAD
3 - 0
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MOL
1 - 2
RAN
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MUI
3 - 2
MOL
58%
19%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 1
MOL
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOL
2 - 1
ALL
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MOL
2 - 4
SEI
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |