Paderborn vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAD
7 - 1
WER
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ZWI
1 - 3
PAD
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
PAD
2 - 1
ROS
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
MAG
1 - 0
PAD
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRE
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
VFR
2 - 2
ZWI
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
VFR
2 - 2
STU
17%
22%
62%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 0
VFR
34%
29%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VFR
0 - 1
MAG
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 1
VFR
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |