Paderborn vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FSV
3 - 0
PAD
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 0
HAL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
SGS
2 - 3
PAD
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 3
ROS
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SSV
3 - 0
PAD
26%
25%
50%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 1
ZWI
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
KÖL
0 - 2
VFR
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VFR
1 - 1
SPO
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VFR
1 - 0
PRE
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FSV
2 - 1
VFR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |