Paderborn vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 2
PAD
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 0
SVS
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 2
SGF
36%
26%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ING
1 - 2
PAD
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 2
F95
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
VFR
3 - 0
FCU
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
STP
0 - 3
VFR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
VFR
0 - 0
ING
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
F95
3 - 1
VFR
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
VFR
2 - 1
FSV
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |