Paderborn vs Mainz 05 II analysis

Paderborn Mainz 05 II
70 ELO 61
0.3% Tilt 11.3%
186º General ELO ranking 3382º
22º Country ELO ranking 142º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Paderborn
23.6%
Draw
19.7%
Mainz 05 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Win probability
Mainz 05 II
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
+3%
+4%
Mainz 05 II

ELO progression

Paderborn
Mainz 05 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2016
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
32%
27%
42%
70 65 5 0
22 Jul. 2016
ROT
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
13%
18%
69%
69 52 17 +1
20 Jul. 2016
DSC
Delbrücker SC
1 - 5
Paderborn
PAD
5%
11%
84%
69 26 43 0
16 Jul. 2016
PAD
Paderborn
3 - 2
Greuther Fürth
SGF
38%
25%
38%
69 70 1 0
10 Jul. 2016
MEP
SV Meppen
3 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
10%
17%
73%
69 45 24 0

Matches

Mainz 05 II
Mainz 05 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 II
0 - 1
Kaiserslautern II
KAI
61%
22%
18%
62 49 13 0
30 Jul. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 II
2 - 2
Zwickau
ZWI
49%
27%
24%
62 59 3 0
30 Jun. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 0
Schott Mainz
SMA
81%
14%
5%
61 27 34 +1
14 May. 2016
COT
Energie Cottbus
2 - 3
Mainz 05 II
MAI
45%
26%
29%
61 60 1 0
07 May. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 II
4 - 0
Hansa Rostock
ROS
35%
27%
38%
59 62 3 +2