Paderborn vs Magdeburg analysis

Paderborn Magdeburg
87 ELO 84
2.7% Tilt 13.1%
186º General ELO ranking 315º
22º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
48.4%
Paderborn
23.3%
Draw
28.3%
Magdeburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.3%
Win probability
Magdeburg
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
+3%
+1%
Magdeburg

Points and table prediction

Paderborn
Their league position
Magdeburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
53
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Köln
61
61
100%
Hamburger SV
59
59
100%
SV Elversberg
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Magdeburg
53
53
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
53
53
100%
Kaiserslautern
53
53
100%
Karlsruher SC
52
52
100%
Hannover 96
51
51
100%
Nürnberg
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Hertha BSC
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Darmstadt 98
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Greuther Fürth
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Schalke 04
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Preußen Münster
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
16º
35
35
16º
100%
SSV Ulm
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Paderborn
Magdeburg
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Paderborn
Magdeburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2025
S04
Schalke 04
0 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
33%
24%
43%
87 83 4 0
26 Apr. 2025
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 1
SV Elversberg
ELV
50%
24%
26%
87 84 3 0
19 Apr. 2025
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 3
Paderborn
PAD
30%
25%
46%
86 81 5 +1
13 Apr. 2025
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
40%
24%
36%
87 87 0 -1
04 Apr. 2025
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
3 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
21%
24%
55%
87 77 10 0

Matches

Magdeburg
Magdeburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2025
MAG
Magdeburg
0 - 5
Preußen Münster
PRE
50%
23%
26%
84 79 5 0
25 Apr. 2025
HER
Hertha BSC
1 - 1
Magdeburg
MAG
41%
24%
35%
84 85 1 0
20 Apr. 2025
MAG
Magdeburg
3 - 0
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
62%
21%
17%
84 75 9 0
12 Apr. 2025
ULM
SSV Ulm
1 - 0
Magdeburg
MAG
26%
24%
51%
84 79 5 0
06 Apr. 2025
MAG
Magdeburg
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
38%
24%
38%
84 85 1 0