Paderborn vs Magdeburg analysis

Paderborn Magdeburg
81 ELO 77
9.9% Tilt 19.6%
186º General ELO ranking 315º
22º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Paderborn
22.7%
Draw
26.8%
Magdeburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.8%
Win probability
Magdeburg
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
+1%
+3%
Magdeburg

Points and table prediction

Paderborn
Their league position
Magdeburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
18º
38
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC St Pauli
69
69
100%
Holstein Kiel
68
68
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
63
63
100%
Hamburger SV
58
58
100%
Karlsruher SC
55
55
100%
Hannover 96
52
52
100%
Paderborn
52
52
100%
Greuther Fürth
50
50
100%
Hertha BSC
48
48
100%
Schalke 04
10º
43
43
10º
0%
SV Elversberg
11º
43
43
11º
0%
Nürnberg
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Kaiserslautern
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Magdeburg
14º
38
38
14º
0%
Eintracht Braunschweig
15º
38
38
15º
0%
Wehen Wiesbaden
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Hansa Rostock
17º
31
31
17º
100%
VfL Osnabrück
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Paderborn
Magdeburg
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Paderborn
Magdeburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2024
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
28%
24%
48%
80 75 5 0
17 Feb. 2024
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 4
Holstein Kiel
HOL
48%
23%
29%
81 79 2 -1
10 Feb. 2024
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
29%
24%
47%
80 75 5 +1
04 Feb. 2024
PAD
Paderborn
4 - 3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
36%
24%
40%
80 81 1 0
27 Jan. 2024
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
19%
22%
59%
80 68 12 0

Matches

Magdeburg
Magdeburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
MAG
Magdeburg
3 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
35%
25%
40%
76 78 2 0
16 Feb. 2024
HER
Hertha BSC
3 - 2
Magdeburg
MAG
48%
24%
28%
76 80 4 0
10 Feb. 2024
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 0
FC St Pauli
STP
21%
22%
57%
75 83 8 +1
02 Feb. 2024
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
33%
24%
43%
75 78 3 0
28 Jan. 2024
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 - 0
Magdeburg
MAG
22%
23%
54%
75 67 8 0