Paderborn vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
WUP
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
HER
2 - 4
PAD
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 0
KFC
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 1
WOL
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
EBT
1 - 1
PAD
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
DIE
2 - 0
FCU
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
STP
2 - 0
DIE
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
DIE
2 - 1
HAM
40%
25%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
OSN
4 - 0
DIE
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 1
DIE
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |