Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
HAN
2 - 3
PAD
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
BSV
2 - 2
PAD
23%
22%
55%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KSC
3 - 0
PAD
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 1
MAG
48%
23%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
S04
0 - 2
PAD
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
EBT
1 - 4
HOL
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 0
HOL
33%
23%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
WEI
1 - 2
HOL
8%
15%
77%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
BVB
3 - 0
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
HOL
1 - 2
SCF
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |