Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel analysis

Paderborn Holstein Kiel
73 ELO 76
22.2% Tilt 10.2%
186º General ELO ranking 194º
22º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
39.5%
Paderborn
23.5%
Draw
37%
Holstein Kiel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
+3%
+4%
Holstein Kiel

ELO progression

Paderborn
Holstein Kiel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2021
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 0
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
69%
18%
14%
73 63 10 0
15 Jan. 2021
SGF
Greuther Fürth
1 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
40%
26%
34%
73 73 0 0
10 Jan. 2021
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
54%
23%
24%
72 71 1 +1
04 Jan. 2021
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
49%
25%
26%
72 76 4 0
22 Dec. 2020
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 3
Paderborn
PAD
61%
21%
18%
71 80 9 +1

Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2021
DAR
Darmstadt 98
0 - 2
Holstein Kiel
HOL
31%
25%
44%
75 73 2 0
17 Jan. 2021
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 3
Karlsruher SC
KSC
55%
24%
21%
76 70 6 -1
13 Jan. 2021
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
1%
6%
92%
75 95 20 +1
09 Jan. 2021
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
17%
22%
61%
75 64 11 0
03 Jan. 2021
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
56%
23%
21%
75 69 6 0