Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel analysis

Paderborn Holstein Kiel
72 ELO 74
13.3% Tilt 23.3%
186º General ELO ranking 194º
22º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Paderborn
25.4%
Draw
34.7%
Holstein Kiel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.7%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
+3%
+4%
Holstein Kiel

ELO progression

Paderborn
Holstein Kiel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2018
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
26%
24%
50%
73 66 7 0
30 Oct. 2018
CHL
Chemie Leipzig
0 - 3
Paderborn
PAD
3%
9%
87%
73 45 28 0
27 Oct. 2018
PAD
Paderborn
3 - 3
Sandhausen
SVS
57%
23%
19%
73 68 5 0
21 Oct. 2018
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
38%
25%
37%
73 74 1 0
07 Oct. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
29%
25%
46%
72 69 3 +1

Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2018
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 2
Ingolstadt 04
ING
60%
23%
18%
74 67 7 0
31 Oct. 2018
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
SC Freiburg
SCF
27%
22%
51%
74 81 7 0
28 Oct. 2018
STP
FC St Pauli
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
34%
26%
40%
74 71 3 0
20 Oct. 2018
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
30%
24%
46%
73 79 6 +1
06 Oct. 2018
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
21%
25%
53%
74 65 9 -1