Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MSV
2 - 0
PAD
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CHL
0 - 3
PAD
3%
9%
87%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
3 - 3
SVS
57%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCU
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ING
1 - 2
PAD
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 2
ING
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 1
SCF
27%
22%
51%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
STP
0 - 1
HOL
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 1
KOL
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HOL
21%
25%
53%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |