Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 1
PAD
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
PAD
4 - 2
HER
45%
23%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
KFC
0 - 0
PAD
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
S04
2 - 4
PAD
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 2
PRE
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 0
FCU
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
STP
1 - 1
HOL
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 2
HAM
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
DIE
1 - 1
HOL
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
HOL
3 - 1
SAC
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |