Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
PRE
2 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
PAD
2 - 3
WER
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
F95
1 - 1
PAD
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 1
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 5
BYM
13%
21%
65%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
HOL
2 - 1
KÖL
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
DRE
3 - 4
HOL
63%
22%
16%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
HOL
2 - 1
CHE
30%
26%
45%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
KFC
0 - 0
HOL
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
HOL
2 - 5
LUB
21%
24%
54%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | -1 |