Paderborn vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
6 - 0
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 0
VFR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FSV
3 - 0
PAD
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 0
HAL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
SGS
2 - 3
PAD
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ZWI
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 0
KÖL
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
KÖL
0 - 1
PRE
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
KÖL
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
KÖL
0 - 2
VFR
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |