Paderborn vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
KFC
5 - 0
PAD
58%
23%
18%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 2
LUB
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
OSN
2 - 0
PAD
57%
23%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
MAG
3 - 1
PAD
69%
18%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
PAD
2 - 3
VER
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 2
DRE
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CHE
3 - 1
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 2
KFC
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
LUB
2 - 0
KÖL
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 2
MAG
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |