Paderborn vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
EBT
2 - 1
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ARB
3 - 1
PAD
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAD
4 - 0
BOC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
PAD
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ING
0 - 2
FSV
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VFR
3 - 0
ING
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STP
1 - 1
ING
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ING
2 - 2
COT
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
EBT
3 - 1
ING
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |