Paderborn vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
S04
2 - 0
PAD
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
SGD
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
STP
2 - 2
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 4
BRE
33%
23%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 2
PAD
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
F95
3 - 1
ERZ
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
ERZ
2 - 3
HOL
18%
22%
59%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 0
ERZ
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 5
S04
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
STP
2 - 2
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |