Paderborn vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis

Paderborn Erzgebirge Aue
73 ELO 71
25.2% Tilt 10.8%
186º General ELO ranking 1260º
22º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
53.9%
Paderborn
22.6%
Draw
23.5%
Erzgebirge Aue

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.5%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
+3%
-6%
Erzgebirge Aue

ELO progression

Paderborn
Erzgebirge Aue
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2021
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
49%
25%
26%
72 76 4 0
22 Dec. 2020
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 3
Paderborn
PAD
61%
21%
18%
71 80 9 +1
19 Dec. 2020
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
40%
25%
34%
71 70 1 0
16 Dec. 2020
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 2
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
65%
19%
16%
71 65 6 0
11 Dec. 2020
BOC
VfL Bochum
3 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
47%
25%
28%
71 73 2 0

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2021
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 1
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
53%
25%
23%
70 64 6 0
20 Dec. 2020
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
71 70 1 -1
17 Dec. 2020
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
4 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
42%
27%
31%
70 70 0 +1
13 Dec. 2020
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
30%
27%
44%
70 65 5 0
06 Dec. 2020
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 2
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
41%
26%
34%
71 69 2 -1