Paderborn vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ING
1 - 3
PAD
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 2
EBT
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BOC
4 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 1
HER
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
MSV
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 2
FSV
45%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 1
ERZ
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
ERZ
3 - 0
COT
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
STP
0 - 3
ERZ
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ERZ
2 - 2
SVS
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |