Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
KAI
1 - 0
PAD
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 6
SVS
59%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LUB
1 - 2
PAD
8%
16%
77%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
F95
1 - 2
PAD
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 1
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 2
EBT
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MSV
2 - 2
ARB
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 0
FSV
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
STP
0 - 0
ARB
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |