Paderborn vs Union Berlin analysis

Paderborn Union Berlin
72 ELO 78
23.2% Tilt 27%
186º General ELO ranking 62º
22º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Paderborn
23.5%
Draw
41.4%
Union Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
41.4%
Win probability
Union Berlin
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
+3%
+3%
Union Berlin

ELO progression

Paderborn
Union Berlin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2019
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
65%
20%
15%
71 84 13 0
30 Nov. 2019
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 3
RB Leipzig
RBL
12%
18%
70%
71 89 18 0
22 Nov. 2019
BVB
B. Dortmund
3 - 3
Paderborn
PAD
82%
12%
6%
70 89 19 +1
09 Nov. 2019
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
38%
24%
38%
72 78 6 -2
01 Nov. 2019
HOF
Hoffenheim
3 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
75%
16%
9%
72 87 15 0

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2019
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 0
Köln
KOL
43%
24%
33%
78 76 2 0
29 Nov. 2019
S04
Schalke 04
2 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
58%
22%
20%
78 86 8 0
23 Nov. 2019
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
26%
25%
49%
77 86 9 +1
13 Nov. 2019
FCU
Union Berlin
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel
HOL
49%
23%
28%
77 72 5 0
09 Nov. 2019
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 3
Union Berlin
FCU
48%
24%
28%
76 79 3 +1