Paderborn vs Union Berlin analysis

Paderborn Union Berlin
73 ELO 74
7.2% Tilt 24.3%
188º General ELO ranking 59º
22º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
38%
Paderborn
24.6%
Draw
37.3%
Union Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.3%
Win probability
Union Berlin
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paderborn
+1%
-1%
Union Berlin

ELO progression

Paderborn
Union Berlin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
29%
25%
46%
72 69 3 0
29 Sep. 2018
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
64%
21%
16%
73 65 8 -1
26 Sep. 2018
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
28%
25%
47%
73 68 5 0
23 Sep. 2018
PAD
Paderborn
4 - 4
Magdeburg
MAG
52%
24%
24%
73 70 3 0
16 Sep. 2018
KOL
Köln
3 - 5
Paderborn
PAD
52%
24%
23%
72 80 8 +1

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2018
FCU
Union Berlin
9 - 1
SV Babelsberg 03
BAB
84%
12%
4%
74 47 27 0
07 Oct. 2018
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Heidenheim
HEI
54%
24%
22%
74 69 5 0
01 Oct. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
27%
25%
48%
75 70 5 -1
25 Sep. 2018
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 0
Holstein Kiel
HOL
44%
25%
31%
74 73 1 +1
22 Sep. 2018
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
35%
25%
40%
74 70 4 0