Paderborn vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 2
PAD
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
MSV
1 - 3
PAD
27%
22%
50%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PAD
6 - 0
SGF
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
SSV
2 - 0
PAD
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PAD
6 - 2
DAR
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
KOL
4 - 1
STP
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FCU
2 - 0
KOL
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
MLL
1 - 0
KOL
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
KOL
3 - 1
GRO
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
KOL
2 - 3
BOC
60%
22%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |