Paderborn vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
PAD
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 0
SVS
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 1
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 3
ING
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
EBT
2 - 1
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
2 - 1
FSV
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
FCU
2 - 1
KOL
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 0
STP
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 1
COT
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ERZ
2 - 0
KOL
24%
26%
51%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |