Paderborn 07 II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
17º
9º
33
5º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 65 |
2º
|
97% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 57 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 55 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 53 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 50 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 44 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 41 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 40 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 40 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 38 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 37 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 35 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 34 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 30 |
17º
|
43% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 29 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KFC
3 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 1
PAD
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 1
ROT
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
TDO
3 - 7
PAD
44%
23%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 2
GUT
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
SVE
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ROT
2 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
7 - 0
TDO
52%
22%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUT
0 - 2
FOR
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 4
SPO
34%
24%
41%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |