Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 0-2
Paços de Ferreira vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
1 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ZIM
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ZIM
0 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
TRO
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
BNE
1 - 1
HAP
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
1 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 1
BNE
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
4 - 0
DIN
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
3 - 0
SIM
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |